A Coup in Burkina Faso
The situation in Burkina Faso has turned into a coup d’état, as we thought was likely. On the morning of Thursday, September 17, a military official announced on television that the army, acting […]
Author: nkcindependent
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JPMorgan boots Nigeria from influential bond index
Bloomberg reported late on Tuesday, September 8 that JPMorgan has decided to eject Nigeria from its Government Bond Index-Emerging Markets (GBI-EM). Justifying its decision, the investment bank stated: “Investors who track the GBI-EM […]
ICC developments and future risks for Kenya
Wednesday, August 19, was a busy day at the International Criminal Court (ICC) in The Hague. The ICC’s judges made two calls that could potentially have an impact on political risk in Kenya. […]
New Suez Canal opening highlights conformity, rights restrictions in Egypt
The Suez Canal’s new extension was inaugurated on Thursday, August 6, in a ceremony that burst with nationalist pride. The extension involved dredging a 37 km waterway that runs parallel to the existing […]
Nigeria – Reasons to expect some policy liberalisation
Structural factors, recent news and upcoming events give reason to believe that Nigeria is about to take a liberal turn on policy. The most important structural factors are the catastrophic state of public […]
Delay in Burundi’s presidential elections, Rwandan parliament wants referendum on Kagame’s third term
Burundi’s presidential election has been postponed by five days, and the first round will now be held on Tuesday, July 21. Authorities thus want to look as though they are meeting international diplomats […]
Ghardaia violence is a particular worry for Algeria right now
Violence in Ghardaia is a symptom of Algeria’s stagnant polity, but also shows up a dangerous, exploitable fault line. The most recent violence between Mozabite (Berber) and Arab communities, who belong to different […]
Assassination and terror attack in Egypt
Prosecutor-General Hesham Barakat was assassinated in a roadside bombing on Monday, June 29. The bomb was planted on a road near Mr Barakat’s home and detonated as he was on his way to […]
New capital controls in Nigeria and Angola
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) announced additional capital controls on June 24. CBN Governor Godwin Emefiele listed up to 40 items that would henceforth not be eligible for the purpose of purchasing […]
South Africa flouts rule of law with Al-Bashir incident
At some point before or during the 25th African Union (AU) summit held in Gauteng during June 7-15, the South African government crossed an extremely dangerous line. The executive took a decision to […]
Lofty free trade goals announced at WEF on Africa
The 25th World Economic Forum (WEF) on Africa was held in Cape Town during June 3-5. The organisation promoted the event as including “[o]ver a thousand of the world’s top government and business […]
Diezani cartel's last cash-out in Nigeria
Four days before a change of government, oil marketers negotiated an $800m payout from the federal government. In the afternoon of Monday, May 25, the Independent Petroleum Marketers Association of Nigeria agreed to […]
Egypt’s Moursi sentenced to death
Former president Mohammed Moursi, cleric Yusuf Al-Qaradawi, and 104 other people have been sentenced to death. Among the others condemned on Saturday, May 16, were Mohamed Badie, the Supreme Guide of the Muslim […]
Nigeria mulls lifting forex restrictions as economic growth slows
The Nigerian economy expanded by 3.96% y-o-y during 2015 Q1, down from 5.94% y-o-y in 2014 Q4. The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) recorded a 11.57% q-o-q decline in real GDP during Q1, […]
IMF releases Regional Economic Outlook
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) recently released its Regional Economic Outlook for Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The Fund expects the region to continue to record commendable growth in 2015, but notes that the recent […]
Zambian government compromises in mining royalties row
On Monday April 20, the Zambian cabinet approved proposed changes relating to the mining tax regime. The changes imply a reinstatement of the two-tiered tax system. The budget address for the 2015 fiscal […]
Kenya’s counterproductive anti-terror measures
In reaction to the Garissa massacre, Kenya is taking steps that threaten to do more harm than good. The devastating terror attack on April 2, in which 148 civilians were murdered by Al-Shabaab […]
