Outlook for 2024: new transitional phase will boost risk assets
The asset classes that performed best in the recessionary cycle are unlikely to repeat their superior performance in the transition to the initial stages of accelerated growth.
Author: Ryk de Klerk
Videos
Watch: MBSE launches RE training for FAIS representatives
Watch: FPI Financial Planner of the Year on key issues shaping the financial landscape
Animated video explains the two-pot retirement system
NCA Credit providers’ FICA obligations
NCR Desktop Audits
Is South Africa on track to getting off the grey list?
Looking back at this year’s FPI Professional’s Convention
Enhance your HR skills by attending our insightful webinars in November
Webinars on how to investigate misconduct and address poor performance
New investment up-cycle: risk-on strategies to last to the end of 2024
The behaviour of the US equity market over the next quarter or so will baffle many investors and financial advisers, as it will appear to be disconnected from the US economy.
China to rise again – prefer indirect exposure through Richemont and LVMH
Infrastructure spending should be good for business and consumer confidence, leading to a rise in the China Non-manufacturing PMI and a re-rating of luxury goods stocks.
Looming global confidence crisis: re-affirm your risk budget
Trends observed during four recent geopolitical events sheds light on how the Israel-Hamas War will impact economies, financial markets, and central banks.
Global debt crisis looming? Significant fallout if it’s not contained
The government should realise that the days of debt-financed spending sprees and extravagance are over, particularly in the run-up to next year’s election.
Bear market in VIX is over – investors are staring down the barrel
Investors are buying more put options than call options, which is driving up market volatility.
Why I’ve increased the duration of my interest-bearing investments
The yields on three-to-five-year US and SA bonds are offering exceptional opportunities from a risk/return point of view.
Why I currently favour tangible assets over financial assets
The upside risks to industrial commodity prices are gathering momentum.
Interest rates: the Sarb will not bow to political pressure
A 200 basis point cut in the repo rate will lead to the rand plunging by between 12% and 15%, putting upward pressure on inflation through more expensive imports.
South African banks are not the culprits as portrayed
The banking sector is one of the few pillars standing in a country that is effectively under business rescue after imploding from state capture.
Why I (want to) own Bitcoin
It appears that virtually most excesses, including malfeasance and possible manipulation of the Bitcoin market from December 2020 to June 2022, have been dealt with.
Capitulation of bears: a bull trap?
Global tech shares and broad equity indexes have entered the high-risk and most dangerous stage of the market rally, says Ryk de Klerk.
The groundwork for risk-on investment strategies is being laid
The relationship between the percentage of US banks tightening or reducing their lending criteria and momentum in world stock markets.
Why I’ve turned positive on the rand
Most of the bad news seems to be reflected in current market prices.
SA capital markets are cheap, but is it darkest before dawn?
Any stupid remark or action could lead to a further downgrade in South Africa’s credit rating and higher 10-year government bond yields.
Sell in May and go away?
An analysis of whether the trading strategy of selling in May and buying back later in the year succeeds.
Big R, credit crunch: REITs are not recession-proof investments
The negative market sentiment towards US REITs will rub off on REITs globally and specifically on global REITs indexes.
