SARB’s first rate cut in four years sparks debate on interest rate trajectory
How low will the repo rate drop, and how fast? Economists share their insights.
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Economists assess the possible impact of the reforms on household consumption, real fixed investment, inflation, government debt, and GDP growth.
Economists forecast a repo rate cut in November
The annual inflation rate remained unchanged at 5.2% in May, but it is still some way from the Reserve Bank’s target of 4.5%.
Glimmer of hope for when the SARB will start cutting the repo rate?
Governor Lesetja Kganyago says the central bank will remain committed to reining in inflation if a new government spends more and the deficit increases.
What the SARB is waiting for before it starts cutting the repo rate
Headline inflation softened to 5.2% in April, but the upside risks remain, particularly from food prices.
SARB hopes new deposit insurance scheme will result in banks paying higher interest rates
Bank Zero’s chief executive agrees that the Corporation for Deposit Insurance has the potential to boost the competitiveness of the new digital banks.
SARB signals the repo rate may not be cut until 2025
The markets are pricing for a rate reduction next year, and headline inflation is expected to return to the midpoint of the target band only in the last quarter of 2025.
